December 7, 2023

Week Eleven FPI likelihood to win: 37.2%

Week Ten FPI likelihood to win: 41.9%

Week 9 FPI likelihood to win: 41.5%

Week Eight FPI likelihood to win: 35.5%

Week Seven FPI likelihood to win: 33.0%

Week Six FPI likelihood to win: 42.5%

Week 5 FPI likelihood to win: 37.7%

Week 4 FPI likelihood to win: 39.5%

Week Three FPI likelihood to win: 36.4%

Week Two FPI likelihood to win: 32.6%

Preseason FPI likelihood to win: 26.0%

Opponent FPI rank: #23

Opponent projected win complete: 8.7

Duke may have one other powerful take a look at on this rivalry matchup, as their probabilities fell to simply 37.2% after their slim win over Wake Forest and UNC’s blowout win over Campbell. The Blue Devils are nonetheless coping with accidents at necessary positions on either side of the ball, and there is a good likelihood they’re going to go in to this recreation in Chapel Hill with third-string QB Grayson Loftis beneath middle. Vegas odds point out the Tar Heels are two landing favorites, whereas FPI suggests this one could be a lot nearer if Duke have been absolutely wholesome. 

Cumulative Document Prediction: 6-4

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